Interest rates have been a hot topic lately, with Australians wondering when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will lower rates. Let’s unpack what’s going on, what the banks are doing, and how you can turn the situation to your advantage—just in time for Christmas.


What Are the Experts Predicting?

The timing of the RBA’s next interest rate cut is a matter of debate.

  • February or May?
    • Commonwealth Bank and ANZ predict the RBA will act in February.
    • Westpac and NAB, on the other hand, are betting on May.

What’s driving the uncertainty? It’s all about inflation.

  • October Inflation Update:
    • Annual inflation is now at 2.1%, which is within the RBA’s target range of 2–3%.
    • However, underlying inflation sits at 3.5%, slightly higher than economists expected.

This is why some experts believe the RBA may wait a bit longer before cutting rates. But here’s the kicker: no matter when the cuts begin, they are expected to reach the same levels by year’s end. If the cuts start later, they’ll likely be steeper to catch up.


Banks Are Already Cutting Rates

Here’s the real story: you don’t need to wait for the RBA. Major lenders are already reducing their interest rates to compete for your business.

  • Recent Drops by Major Banks:
    • ANZ: Variable interest rate cut by 0.15%
    • NAB: Variable rate cut by 0.40%

These reductions are equivalent to two potential RBA cuts—and they’re happening now. Even non-bank lenders are joining in, offering lower rates in November alone.


Why Are Banks Dropping Rates Early?

It’s simple: competition. Lenders are fighting to attract (and keep) customers. This puts you in a strong position to negotiate better terms for your mortgage.


How to Negotiate a Better Interest Rate

Want to save money? All it takes is a quick call to your lender. Here’s a script you can use:

  1. Start the Call:
    • “Hi, I’m looking at refinancing my mortgage to another lender who is offering a better interest rate than what I’m getting right now. Before I do that, I wanted to give you the chance to offer me a better rate. What can you do for me?”
  2. Stop Talking:
    • Once you’ve asked the question, let them respond. Lenders are motivated to keep your business, and chances are, they’ll make an effort to match or beat the competition.

Why Now Is the Perfect Time

With Christmas around the corner, securing a better interest rate could mean more money in your pocket for the holidays. It’s a simple step that could make a big difference for your family’s budget.


Make the Call and Save

Interest rate cuts aren’t just something to wait for—they’re already happening. Take charge of your mortgage, call your lender, and negotiate a better deal. It’s a quick win that can set you up for a financially brighter start to the new year.

Merry Christmas, and here’s to saving smart!